Friday, December 6, 2013

Inflection Point Hong Kong: Hunker Down or Run While You Still Can?

We approach the th H7N9 situation in Hong Kong purely from a risk mitigation stand point; what's happening there now is a good primer for what could happen here in the USA later.

In an island state like Hong Kong there is always a quarantine risk to either keep people out or keep people in, one cannot expect the State to tip its hand on what its plans are, as it might make the lemmings run into the sea and exacerbate the situation. The key is to be able to recognize the risk potential and impact BEFORE the herd mentality takes over;  that point is probably neigh right now in Hong Kong.

As we see it now, there is prima facia evidence of human to human spread of H7N9 inside of Hong Kong, likely via primary schools and hospitals.

Given sufficient economic resources, the most risk avoiding action to take would be to take an extended vacation to a warm weather climate in the Southen Hemisphere (hello Australia).

The likely most cost effective risk avoiding action would be to shelter in place, and stock up on non perishable food supplies, medicines, infection control items, and water while you still can. Of course this assumes that H7N9 is not the end of the world as we know it; currently we think that that is a reasonable assumption to make, but it has a high price tag for being wrong.

If there is one simple preventative measure to take, it would be to purchase Chlorhexidine Gluconate surgical scrub; in the USA the brandname is Hibiclens. see this link for details:
BUY IT NOW! H7N9 FLU Pandemic Will Spark Run On CHG

We make no money from the sale of Hibiclens / CHG, but if it ends up saving your life feel, free to donate to our website in hindsight:

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