President #Trump required early intervention with #dexamethasone as the direct result of his previous #vaccination with an experimental #COVID19 #vaccine
And, that portends serious dangers with large scale #SARS_CoV_2 vaccinations of the Public
#Trump's #COVID19 progressed to lung involvement seemingly rapidly within in just 2 days of infection
COVID19 progression typically is described in the following pattern
1st 5 days = symptoms followed by seeming improvement
2nd 5 days = immune response attacks lungs
If #Trump's #Coronavirus infection time line is correct
it means that Trump's immune system mounted such an IMMEDIATE and OVERWHELMING response to his #SARSCoV2 infection that his lungs were being damaged at the same time his infection was just starting (very atypical)
So that brings the question how was a 74 year old man like #PresidentTrump able to produce such a rapid and damaging immune response to SARSCoV2?
The obvious #Conjecture is that #Trump's #ImmuneSystem had been previously primed with an experimental #COVID19 vaccine
IF the scenario is correct, the following can be deduced:
1) The #COVID19 vaccine used on #Trump was not effective
2) The vaccine induced #ARDS symptoms at infection onset!
Wise COVID-19 risk mitigation action would now include the assumption that the pig population in the USA is asymptomatically infected with SARS-COV-2.
Analysis:
1) Research from 2018 has shown that "Bat-Origin Coronaviruses Expand Their Host Range to Pigs" (link in source documents below)
2) US Pork processing facilities are being massively disproportionally hit with COVID-19 cases, as compared to beef, and poultry processors
3) The pork processing plants are mostly located in States withotherwise very low per capita Coronavirus infections
4) Pigs are known to be susceptible to Coronavirus infections.
5) Due to immense economic pressures there will be great hesitance to inform the public of any risks related to Pigs spreading COVID-19 infections.
6) A knee-jerk public reaction to infected pigs could lead to destruction of the pork industry and potentially increase the world wide risk of starvation.
Conclusion:
Given the correlation preponderance and the high impact of infection, it is a wise risk mitigation decision at the individual level to proceed as if Pigs and raw pig products were a direct source of COVID-19 infections.
This footage is from a Minnesota Sam's Club on 3/8/2020; literally moments prior to the video the butchers had restocked the displays seen here with the last of the meat products they had available.
The shortage issue here stems from the Herd stampeding to buy a 2 week supply of food when the supply chain only has a 3 day buffer. As this effect is on going, the result will be a feast and famine cycle in which food shows up and is purchased in waves.
The feast and famine cycle will only serve to panic the Herd further. Unfortunately things will become worse as Government's try to manage the supply chain and control costs; picture your local Department of Motor Vehicles in charge of your food supply. The fast and most painless solution to recover from this situation is the Free-Market "Price Gouging". But obviously that won't be allowed to happen so prepare to suffer under the DMV controlled food supply.
Pray and Help Your Neighbors.
Risk Mitigation:
Telemedicine risk mitigation devices we are using (in order of importance):
Oximeters (can indicate the difference between shortness of breath vs pneumonia) https://amzn.to/2IADrPn (We tested it on adults and children down to 3 years old)
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products)
PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
Unlike China, most Americans have to drive to get supplies. Don't expect gas stations to be open, and expect the ones that are open to be crowded. That last thing you want to do is increase your coronavirus exposure chances by making unnecessary gasoline stops.
Unfortunately, most modern American gas cans are now dangerous as all heck thanks to California and their friends in the Federal Government. Metal cans are preferable over plastic, and if it doesn't have a long nozzle (preferably flexible) you wont be able to use it to fill your cars gas tank.
NOTE: Several States require gasoline cans to be red and to say gasoline on them. Where possible the use of 100% gasoline is preferable to 10% Ethanol formulations for storage purposes.
Almost all car parts and maintenance items are made in China, those factories are already closed. With an outbreak in the USA expect car dealerships and local garages to be shutdown for lack of parts and for fear of being infected.
Many of these items may yet still be available at your local stores.
If you buy through any of the Amazon links, we will get a commission.
We did NOT include links to purchase cough medicine based on reports that China was tracking who purchased cough medicine and such tracking might be expected in the USA.
High quality data from Los Alamos National Labs [LANL] indicates there is a 99% probability a Japanese tourist in Hawaii acquired his SARS-CoV-2 aka COVID19 infection during the nearly 2 week period he was in Hawaii on vacation. (source links and raw data are at the end of this post)
Given the high probability (and uncertainty on how rapidly it may spread in Hawaii's climate) combined with the high societal impact, prudent risk mitigation MAY indicate that now is the time to
1) Either, hunker down and gather supplies while it is still possible and economical to do so
2) Or, escape / evacuate the islands while it is still possible.
Analysis of Symptom Onset date vs Infection Date:
1) He was in Maui for 8 days from Jan 27 to Feb 3
2) He was in Oahu for 5 days from Feb 3 to Feb 7
3) Symptom onset was Feb 5th - Feb 6th, based on News Reports
4) Hospitalization date was Feb 8th, In Japan with a 102F fever
5) LANL data reports initial exposure to symptom onset is 4.2 days
6) LANL data indicates 99.9% of cases have symptom onset within 11 days of infection
7) LANL data indicates 99.2% of victims have symptom onset within 10 days of infection
8) LANL data indicates 98.5% of victims have symptom onset within 9 days of infection
9) The Japanese victim had symptom onset on day 10 of his Hawaii vacation [max range day 9-11]
10) Based on Infection vs Onset data there is a 99% to 99.9% probability he was infected in Hawaii
Risk Mitigation Discussion:
It is clear with near certainty that the Japanese tourist was infected with Coronavirus during his vacation in Hawaii. That infection indicates that previously undetected community spread of the SARS-CoV2 aka COVID19 virus was ongoing in Hawaii at minimum during late January and early February. The lowest bound for the 1st infection in Hawaii would probably be 12/31/19.
The LANL analysis indicated that 'in China it is estimated that early in the epidemic the number of infected individuals doubled every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6'
IF those conditions hold true in Hawaii, and making the conservative assumption that the Japanese tourist was infected by Patient Zero, the LANL data would indicated that as of Valentine's Day there would have been approximately 48 to 213 undetected SARS-CoV2 cases in Hawaii. Whether those replication numbers apply in Hawaii's climate is uncertain, but given the certainty of community infection and the societal impacts of COVID-19 infection. I can only draw the conclusion that if I was in Hawaii
1) I would either immediately hunker down and accumulate needed supplies while such actions were still viable.
2) Or, I would evacuate the Islands while there was still capability to do so.
If Hawaii's Department of Public Health takes zero action, LANL's data indicates there will be over 1 million cases by mid-March.
Data Strength and Weaknesses:
Strengths:
1) Credibility of Los Alamos National Laboratory
2) Highest Quality Raw Data Available
3) Raw data is from Individuals who 'had all traveled to
Wuhan a short time preceding symptoms onset. Since these individuals were the first cases
detected in the provinces outside of Wuhan, it is likely that the infection occurred during their recent stay in Wuhan'
Weaknesses:
1) While the infection / onset data is very high quality, it is drawn from a pool of only 24 people.
2) Hawaii is not China, hence COVID19's Reproduction number R0 may be lower and rates of spread may be different.
Mainland Emergency Risk Mitigation Actions We Have Taken.
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products)
PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
Unlike China, most Americans have to drive to get supplies. Don't expect gas stations to be open, and expect the ones that are open to be crowded. That last thing you want to do is increase your coronavirus exposure chances by making unnecessary gasoline stops.
Unfortunately, most modern American gas cans are now dangerous as all heck thanks to California and their friends in the Federal Government. Metal cans are preferable over plastic, and if it doesn't have a long nozzle (preferably flexible) you wont be able to use it to fill your cars gas tank.
NOTE: Several States require gasoline cans to be red and to say gasoline on them. Where possible the use of 100% gasoline is preferable to 10% Ethanol formulations for storage purposes.
Almost all car parts and maintenance items are made in China, those factories are already closed. With an outbreak in the USA expect car dealerships and local garages to be shutdown for lack of parts and for fear of being infected.
Many of these items may yet still be available at your local stores.
If you buy through any of the Amazon links, we will get a commission.
We did NOT include links to purchase cough medicine based on reports that China was tracking who purchased cough medicine and such tracking might be expected in the USA.
Better data from Los Alamos National Laboratory puts the probability that the Japanese tourist acquired his CoranaVirus infection in Hawaii at 99 to 99.9%
Based on a EXTREEMLY CONSERVATIVE uniform data fit of COVID-19 Coronavirus incubation data taken from 1099 infected Chinese patients reported as having a 3 day Median and 0-24 day range
Analysis:
1) There is a 52% probability the Japanese man acquired his infection in Oahu, Hawaii
2) There is a 57% probability that the Japanese man acquired his infection in Maui, Hawaii
3) Overall there is an overall 67% probability that his infection was acquired in Hawaii.
Discussion:
1) Using a uniform distribution of infection on either side of the reported 3 day Median incubation period is an extremely conservative approach.
2) A conservative approach was chosen to establish a minimum boundary condition.
3) A less conservative but more likely accurate approach would have used a left skewed distribution with a high degree of kurtosis around the 3 day mark and a long tail stretched out to 24 days.
4) We expect that more accurate curve fit would indicate a 90+ probability that the Japanese tourist was infected in Hawaii
5) Its terrifying that a SARS-CoV2 aka COVID-19 infection was able to occur in Summer weather, as this indicates that this outbreak will continue and worsen through Summer.
6) Further confirmation of transmission in Hawaii, or in Summer weather locations like Australia and Indonesia would require the highest levels of risk mitigation
7) Confirmation of Summer weather transmission would be a strong indicator that this virus was Weaponized
8) Optimistically weaponzation would have been carried out for the sole purpose of making it easy and cost effective to infect Laboratory animals under humane temperature / humidity conditions.
9) Source Links and Data are at the bottom of this post
Purchases we've made to Risk Mitigate this Outbreak
Links to what we have purchased:
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products)
PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
Unlike China, most Americans have to drive to get supplies. Don't expect gas stations to be open, and expect the ones that are open to be crowded. That last thing you want to do is increase your coronavirus exposure chances by making unnecessary gasoline stops.
Unfortunately, most modern American gas cans are now dangerous as all heck thanks to California and their friends in the Federal Government. Metal cans are preferable over plastic, and if it doesn't have a long nozzle (preferably flexible) you wont be able to use it to fill your cars gas tank.
NOTE: Several States require gasoline cans to be red and to say gasoline on them. Where possible the use of 100% gasoline is preferable to 10% Ethanol formulations for storage purposes.
Almost all car parts and maintenance items are made in China, those factories are already closed. With an outbreak in the USA expect car dealerships and local garages to be shutdown for lack of parts and for fear of being infected.
Many of these items may yet still be available at your local stores.
If you buy through any of the Amazon links, we will get a commission.
We did NOT include links to purchase cough medicine based on reports that China was tracking who purchased cough medicine and such tracking might be expected in the USA.
CDC just warned to expect "Community Spread" of COVID-19 Coronavirus in the United States. The following message are Emergency Actions WE are taking; they are NOT recommendations.
Immediate Vehicle Maintenance Skin Sanitize and Long Acting Viricides Gas Cans
Links to what we have purchased:
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products) PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
Unlike China, most Americans have to drive to get supplies. Don't expect gas stations to be open, and expect the ones that are open to be crowded. That last thing you want to do is increase your coronavirus exposure chances by making unnecessary gasoline stops.
Unfortunately, most modern American gas cans are now dangerous as all heck thanks to California and their friends in the Federal Government. Metal cans are preferable over plastic, and if it doesn't have a long nozzle (preferably flexible) you wont be able to use it to fill your cars gas tank.
NOTE: Several States require gasoline cans to be red and to say gasoline on them. Where possible the use of 100% gasoline is preferable to 10% Ethanol formulations for storage purposes.
Green Explosafe Gas Can 5L (there is no safer way to transport or store fuel) https://amzn.to/2vtpLC4
Outside of America, we prefer Valpro / Wavian Explo-Safe gas cans. https://pissinontheroses.blogspot.com/2020/02/quarantine-supplies-you-wont-realize.html
Fuel Stabilizer:
Gas does not have a long shelf life, especially in plastic gas cans.
8) Car Parts and More Almost all car parts and maintenance items are made in China, those factories are already closed. With an outbreak in the USA expect car dealerships and local garages to be shutdown for lack of parts and for fear of being infected.
Many of these items may yet still be available at your local stores.
If you buy through any of the Amazon links, we will get a commission.We did NOT include links to purchase cough medicine based on reports that China was tracking who purchased cough medicine and such tracking might be expected in the USA.
Emergency Action countermeasures are required against the Wuhan Coronavirus as confirmed reports from Germany and Japan have documentedthe asymptomatic spread of the Pandemic Coronavirus. These reports substantiate Chinese governmental warnings on asymptomatic spread of the Wuhan Coronavirus. The nature of this asymptomatic spread is likely fomites such as fecal matter and other bodily fluids contaminating common objects/surfaces.
Protections from incidental physical contamination is paramount.
IMMEDIATE EMERGENCY ACTIONS the POTRBLOG team is now taking:
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products) PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
(1) Our actions are focused on risk mitigation, based on available current knowledge of viricides and the potential impacts of the Wuhan Coronavirus.
(2) We do not make recommendations as to what other people should do or buy; we only offer insight to the things we are actually doing and spending money on.
(3) If you use the links above to purchase these item we will receive monetary compensation from Amazon, which in turn will help us buy more of these items.