Oroville Dam Failure Begins at the 908 Foot Lake Level According to The California Department of Water Resources

Information recently released by the California Division of Water Resources indicates that

1.  Oroville Dam failures will begin at the Emergency Spillway when lake levels reach 908 feet

2.  Oroville Dam failures will begin at the Main Spillway when lake levels reach 908 feet

3.  At a 899 ft lake level it only takes ~ 6 inches of rain in 21 hours to reach the 908 foot failure point

4.  No risk assessment has been performed on the unreinforced section of Emergency Spillway

5.  The Emergency Spillway no longer has capacity to be a redundancy for the Main Spillway

6.   The Emergency Spillway can now only handle a 100K CFS flow rate (was 450K CFS)

7.   The Main Spillway can now only handle a 269K CFS flow rate (was 301K CFS)

8.   Oroville Dam can no longer survive the Maximum Possible Flood ( an 1,800 year flood)

9.   Oroville Dam can not handle the Standard Project Flood when lake levels are above 848 feet

10. Global warming will make the 1,800 year Maximum Possible Flood occur more frequently 

11. Global warming will make the 440 year Standard Project Flood occur more frequently.

12. No risk mitigation work has been done on either the Spillway Gate or Hyatt Power House

13. Down stream levee failures will occur when release rates exceed 150K CFS,

The above data assumes that Oroville Dam will function 100% as claimed by the California Division of Water Resources. 

We question the veracity of 100%  dam operations for the following reasons

1. Even after massively reinforcing the top half of the Emergency Spillway, the hillside is so unstable that the Spillway flow rates had to be dropped by ~80%

2. Oroville Dam authorities have shown an inability to problem solve real time, as proven by their 2017 decision to use the Emergency Spillway despite an obviously eroding hillside, leading to issue 3

3. Oroville Dam authorities have an inability to recognize life threatening situations until the last possible moment, as evidenced by declaring an Emergency Evacuation after continuous claims of safety just moments prior.

3. In an Orwellian maneuver, Oroville Dam renamed the Emergency Spillway to the "Auxiliary Spillway" after its use resulted in a MASSIVE EMERGENCY EVACUATION; this renaming shows they WILL place and push a false appearance of safety above actual safety.

4. News organization were complicit in renaming the Emergency Spillway to the Auxiliary Spillway

5  During the recent low flow Main Spillway usage, we noticed an anomaly possibly affecting future Hyatt Power House operations. (more to follow)

6. Insufficient live Main Spillway testing has been done despite unusually high lake levels

7. Their Risk Analysis understates risks, as all risk events treated as separate and not interrelated.

Sources:

Original 1970's Oroville Dam Operation Manual

Oroville Spillways Media Briefing 04-02-2019

Oroville Ad Hoc Group Meeting January 10, 2019

Oroville Update: Survival Window Is Closing

Oroville Lake levels are rising
Spillway hillside at heightened risk of collapse
All water outflow has been stopped to ease collapse risk
Feather river  being deepened to mitigate risk of hillside collapse
Rain is forecast, zero outflow cannot be maintained for ever, hence the survival window is closing.

Any or all of the following situations we believe require IMMEDIATE risk mitigation actions

1. Hillside landslide blocking Feather river
2. Flooded Power House
3. Any use of Spillways combined with High Lake levels

Expected actions from the CA_DWR included:

1 Deepening the channel flowing around the debris dam
2 Lining the debris dam to prevent erosion from Power House flow
3 Stabilize eroded areas of the spillway hillside

The limited ability to carry out the above 3 actions is what is closing the survival window.

Sources:

http://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Riverbanks-collapse-after-Oroville-Dam-spillway-10976144.php?t=a156df513f&cmpid=twitter-premium&cmpid=twitter-premium

ALERT! Oroville Dam is Lost if the Hyatt Power Plant Floods

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?s=ORO&d=05-Mar-2017+16:25&span=12hours

Oroville Dam Fault Mode Analysis: If the Hyatt Power Plant floods the Dam is lost

The primary constraint controlling risk mitigation decisions at Oroville Dam has been flooding of the Hyatt Power Plant; if the Power Plant floods the Dam is lost. The Power Plant is at risk because the failed spillway is cutting the hillside resulting in a debris dam and water back flow to the power house. Its for these reasons that the Emergency spillway was utilized.

Without that bit of insight the decision to use the Emergency spillway seems incredible stupid, as it obviously has a greater risk of head cutting erosion into the Dam than the damaged spillway. But at the time, it would seem the California Department of Water Resources thought the risk of hillside giving way at the primary spillway and flooding the PowerHouse was the primary risk.

Unfortunately now that the Emergency Spillway is at risk of catastrophic failure, there currently are no safe ways of regulating lake levels. That situation may change as the debris dam is pared down and the Power House regains the ability to spill water through the turbines.

If lake levels can be maintained solely using the turbine exhaust the Dam failure risk is greatly reduced. But as long as water discharges from the primary spill way remain outside of their designed path, loss of control of the Dam remain high; the only safety buffer being low lake levels.

Source Links:

https://pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com/galleries/C0000OxvlgXg3yfg/G00003YCcmDTx48Y/I0000Ds3Gc4QPH_4/KG-oro-spillway-damage-12406-02-16-2017-jpg

https://pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com/galleries/C0000OxvlgXg3yfg/G00003YCcmDTx48Y/I0000ADPF9o1e3ck/DK-Oro-Spillway-damage-4206-02-15-2017-jpg

https://pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com/galleries/C0000OxvlgXg3yfg/G00003YCcmDTx48Y/I0000zVDjCL02CpI/DK-oro-spillway-damage-4639-02-27-2017-jpg

https://pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com/galleries/C0000OxvlgXg3yfg/G00003YCcmDTx48Y/I0000BWQbsNHjqv0/DK-oro-spillway-damage-4474-02-27-2017-jpg

Lake Oroville Spillway February 27, 2017

Only Backup Generators Remain

Radiolysis, The Explosive danger at the West Lake Landfill Nuclear Fire: Feds Don't Dare Discuss It

Radiolysis could cause an explosion at the illegal West Lake nuclear landfill dump site in Bridgeton Missouri. It's for that explosive reason that legally dumped nuclear waste undergoes an extensive analysis looking at Radiolytic interactions. Yet, in our search we can find no public info that such an analysis has ever been done for the West Lake landfill.
We suspect the Feds don't want to go anywhere near talking about Radiolysis at the West Lake Landfill because the situation is too uncontrolled and too complex to model with any level of certainty. At the same time, the Feds likely don't want to talk about at subject they feel might scare the bejesus out of the locals. Throw in the fact that the Fed's plan to cap the West Lake Landfill could actually greatly increase the explosion risk of radiolytic produced Hydrogen, Acetylene, Hydrogen Peroxide, Oxygen, and a host of explosive substances building up under that cap, and it is easy to see how silence is golden for them.

For those unfamiliar with Radiolysis, it is the process in which radiation striking chemical compounds changes them into other compounds. For example radiolysis can change water into Hydrogen, Oxygen and Hydrogen Peroxide (rocket fuel); It also changes Methane into Acetylene, And given that there are reports of explosive concentrations of Methane already on site, radiolysis just makes matters worse. Throw in the underground fire currently approaching the radioactive landfill, and its not hard to imagine why the Feds don't publicly discuss the risks of radiolysis at the West Lake Landfill.

More to follow regarding: The risks of explosion; and what to expect when/if and explosion/fire occurs at the West Lake nuclear dump

Sources:

Radiolysis ProcessModeling Results forScenarios

Potential gas production from landfillingof inorganic wastes

St. Louis County Releases Disaster Plan for West Lake Landfill

Underground Radioactive Fire At Saint Louis Landfill: Airborne Readings

Department of Defense Says EBOLA IS "AEROSTABLE"; Fears Persistent Sewer System Contagion

The Defense Threat Reduction Agency [DTRA], in a just released a broad agency announcement seeking rapid assistance against Ebola's weapon of mass destruction [WMD] capability, stated that

  "Ebola is aerostable in an enclosed controlled system in the dark and can survive for long periods in different liquid media"

The short of it is that DTRA's WMD arm sees a massive potential for Ebola to persist in sewage systems in Airborne, Waterborne, and BioFilm form.


The obvious dangers are multifold.

1) Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) spread in the Amoy Gardens high-rise apartment complex via a similar plumbing related infectious route

2) CDC's current guidance encourages untreated EBOLA waste discharge into sewer systems

3) Dr. Craig Spencer has already potentially infected NYC sewer system despite his 21 day "home quarantine"

4) Sewers may be a reoccurring source on #Ebola infection

5) CDC's assurances that Ebola can not be spread via Air, Water, or Sewer places people at great risk

Specifically, DTRA wants answers in 3 to 6 months regarding environmental conditions that allow to Ebola to persist in an airborne state, and persist on surfaces after precipitating out of the air.
DTRA is also looking for genetic weaponization markers that elucidate that persistence.

Interestingly enough, DTRA's solicitation also seeks Africa specific data that will allow them to use a a NATO Biowarfare Ebola simulation to predict the flow Ebola infection in Africa; we'll have more on that in a separate video/analysis.

As we have reported in previous posts, the US Army says that Ebola has an airborne stability similar to Influenza and that winter weather conditions may allow to spread via the airborne route. Apparently what the Army has found is that sewer systems also offer an ideal environment for longer term Ebola persistence.

Sources:

Chemical/Biological Technologies Department Ebola Broad Agency Announcement


DEFENSE THREAT REDUCTION AGENCY BROAD AGENCY ANNOUNCEMENT

Aerosolizing ONE DROP of Ebola Infected Blood Can Kill 500,000 People

US ARMY Says EBOLA = FLU in Airborne Stability, Needs Winter Weather To Go Airborne

Inadequate plumbing systems likely contributed to SARS transmission

Hong Kong seals apartment building to contain SARS

http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/hcp/environmental-infection-control-in-hospitals.html

ALERT! Airborne Radiation Spike In Saint Charles Mo, Suspected Source Underground Nuclear Fire At West Lake Landfill

Our Live Outdoor Radiation Monitor is showing a several hour long ramping spike in airborne radiation levels. The spike appears to be tied to a shift in wind direction, surface winds are blowing in from the East. Based on wind direction, the suspect source of this spike is the underground nuclear fire at Bridgeton's Westlake Landfill (EPA Superfund site).

We can not precisely quantify the risk without further detail information from the EPA, our assumption is that it is not immediately life threatening. Nonetheless given that our indoor readings appear normal, staying indoors is likely a wise risk mitigation action. 
(edited to add) Based on the Outdoor - Indoor readings, this spike is likely driven ALPHA and/or BETA emitting radionuclides.

Notes:

(1) The lone drop out on the outdoor radiation chart occurred as we were checking that Geiger Counters com port identification to verify that it was the outdoor unit.
(2) Normally we are several miles up wind of the West Lake Landfill's underground nuclear fire, only on the rare occasions that surface winds blow from East to West are we noticeably exposed to airborne emanations from that Superfund site.

Sources:

LIVE! Saint Louis Outdoor & Indoor Radiation Monitors

Underground Radioactive Fire At Saint Louis Landfill: Airborne Readings

West Lake Landfill 

Systems & Intrinsic Disorder: MERS-CoV's "Hard Shell" Is Key To Understanding Its Epidemiology

Since 2012 our take on MERS is that it is either wide spread (via Hajj) and of little risk, or that its not very contagious and again of little risk. Since that time, enough epidemiological information has come forth for us to deduce from a systems analysis that MERS-CoV has adapted itself to thrive in a very specific anthropogenic environment and outside of that (or similar) environment MERS-CoV won't sustain deadly pandemic reproduction.

Our hypothesis is that MERS-CoV's specific adaptation is the development of a "Hard Shell". That hardened shell allows MERS-CoV to survive in desert fecal aerosols, while also allowing it to survive as a wet fecal fomite or aerosol, even after Islamic cleansing rituals have taken place.

Based on our analysis, a search of relevant literature showed that others have come to a similar conclusion but a via a completely different path. (see sources below) Their path was based on determining the amount of 'flexibility' in MERS-CoV's inner and outer shells via Protein Intrinsic Disorder Prediction. The conclusion was that of all the Corona viruses modeled, MERS-CoV showed the lowest disorder /  hardest shell, and thusly was likely fecally transmitted .

Frankly, this finding should not be surprising since other animal Coronaviruses like SARS and Feline-CoV have been documented to spread via aerosolized wet feces and aerosol dry fomite dissemination. Where as, Human cold causing Cornoaviruses are believed to be spread via sneezing and coughing.

What it means in the Desert:

The dry environmental spread of MERS-CoV is likely from a desert dwelling animal that produces very dry dung. The Camel is a prime example, its fresh dung is immediately ready for burning, and is often collected for that purpose. Its safe to assume that people down wind of Camel (or Human) desert deposited excretia are at risk if Human disease producing MERS-CoV is present . For MERS to survive this kind of dust blown dehydrated environment it likely must have a hard shell.

What it means in the Hospital:

The other unusual aspect of MERS infection is that chain transmission has occurred only in hospitals in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia [KSA]. Given the wealth, and Islamic piousness observed in KSA, this means that MERS-CoV must transmit in a western medical environment which strictly follows Islamic cleansing / palliative care requirements.

In short, KSA's wealth allows more health care workers per patient; a lot more health care worker exposure to fecal matter via close physical patient contact/care; and significant health care worker inter-exposure via common restrooms in which no toilet paper is used to block fecal hand contact, but instead soapy hands are relied for posterior cleanliness. For MERS to survive in this environment, it must have some resistance to soapy water aerosolization or fomite deposition degradation; again this points to a hard shell.

What it means outside of Saudi Arabia:

Given the lack of deadly MERS chain transmission outside of KSA, and our previous stated conclusions; it appears that lethal MERS transmission requires a minimum exposure dose, one which MERS has adapted to allow KSA hospital care to deliver. Outside of a wealthy discrete healthcare environment, similar dose exposures in a distributed environment might be expected to occur in poor, high population density areas with similar cultural / religious practices. This epidemiological analytical transformation is analogous to a MERS smart bomb on discrete target vs a cluster bomb on an area target. One might also expect chain transmission to occur in western nursing homes.

What it means for HAJJ:

HAJJ has not yet supported deadly MERS chain transmission, but that does not rule out that it will.

Quick Conjectures:

#1 One possibility is that Camel Coronavirus in Humans is to MERS, as Feline Coronavirus[FCoV] in Cats is to Feline Infectious Peritonitis [FIP]. CATS living in high density populations often have FCoV, but only in a small percentage of cats does that infection internally mutate into the disease manifesting version which causes FIP. The disease causing version is not believed to be transmittable to other cats. Since MERS is transmissible, a worst case reinforcing scenario would be a human MERS patient infecting a Camel with "human MERS".

#2 Camel herders are immune to MERS akin to the way in which Milk Maids were immune to SmallPox.

#3 If the in country dwell time for HAJJ pilgrims remains below the median time for symptom onset from exposure, the odds are an outbreak inside of Saudi Arabia is self limiting.

#4 The risk of a massive MERS outbreak at Hajj increases as a function of KSA's gross domestic product per (transient population) capita decreases.

Sources:

Prediction of Intrinsic Disorder in MERS-CoV/HCoV-EMC Supports a High Oral-Fecal Transmission

Bedouin Camel Coprophagia Dysentery Cure A Pathway For MERS Infection

MERS Likely Spread Via Islamic Palliative Healthcare

MERS-CoV Infection Via Diarrhea & Eastern Toilet Habits

Feline Infectious Peritonitis

How cats become infected with feline coronavirus, the virus which causes FIP

.

Bedouin Camel Coprophagia Dysentery Cure A Pathway For MERS Infection

Its abundantly clear that MERS-CoV transmission is fecal based (more on that in a follow on post). In that regard, one important but embarrassingly overlooked source for Camel to Human MERS-CoV transmission is the Bedouin practice of eating fresh steaming camel dung to treat dysentery.

Based on this connection, one might expect that most camel turds are consumed by people during the flood season when dysentery may be at its highest. Of course one might also assume that this treatment is most used when one is out in the desert and away from the cities. Tracking the epidemiological correlations may be telling in regards to MERS first appearance and subsequent peaks.

Now as nasty as Camel Coprophagia may seem, if you're dying in the middle of the desert and the obviously healthy native people tell you that you better chomp down of a fresh steaming camel turd if you want to stay alive, what do you do? Reportedly this is the exact situation the Nazi army in North Africa faced in WW2. The Nazis ended up placing fresh hot camel turd on the menu, and a few medical innovations followed.

Sources:

More on Merde

Ralph A. Lewin

From: Perspectives in Biology and Medicine
Volume 44, Number 4, Autumn 2001
pp. 594-607 | 10.1353/pbm.2001.0067

MERS Likely Spread Via Islamic Palliative Healthcare

MERS-CoV Infection Via Diarrhea & Eastern Toilet Habits

US Navy And Genetically Engineered Human-Cow Hybrid's Polyclonal Antibodies Coming To MERS Rescue

A senior 'vaccine' scientist at US Navy's Naval Medical Research Unit (NAMRU) placed an order for a large amount of anti-MERS Polyclonal Antibodies produced by Sanford Applied Biosciences (SAB). This order no doubt will help SAB's bottom line with its hyper MERS infected trans-human cows, which produce such Polyclonal antibodies.

Given the cows are being infected with MERS-CoV, and given that its transmitted in feces, one hopes that these cows-human hybrids only poop in a bio-level 3 containment facility that doesn't compost its waste. We would not want to be down wind of those farmers fields. 

If NAMRU's research on the Polyclonal treatments for MERS infections is successful, SAB may be in for a large windfall. Of course, it still remains to be seen if serum derived from trans-human cows will be considered  halal or harram by MERS primary victims.

Sources:

Anti-MERS COV Polyclonal Antibodys

Solicitation Number: N3239814RCVB001

Agency: Department of the Navy
Office: Bureau of Medicine and Surgery
Location: Naval Medical Research Center

MERS-CoV Infection Via Diarrhea & Eastern Toilet Habits

Triple Immunoglobulin Gene Knockout Transchromosomic Cattle: Bovine Lambda Cluster Deletion and Its Effect on Fully Human Polyclonal Antibody Production

Cows offer hope against human illness

MERS Likely Spread Via Islamic Palliative Healthcare

WIPP Electrical Design Flaw Lead to Nearly Catastrophic MidWest Airborne Plutonium Release, AND MAY YET STILL!

The Department of Energy's Waste Isolation Dispersal Pilot Plant [WIPP] in Carlsbad, New Mexico has a System of Systems design flaw which virtually guarantees that even a moderate underground fire affecting the nuclear waste will cause the facility to lose power, resulting in a massive uncontrolled release of Plutonium and Americium.

This exact catastrophic situation had started to occur during the Valentine's day nuclear fire at the WIPP facility; when by the GRACE OF GOD, elevated wind speeds spun up and  reduced the airborne Americium cloud's radioactive density. This act of Divine Providence served to lessen the Americium's ionization interaction with WIPP's electrical substation to the point where the electrical arc flashes were noted but power loss reportedly did not occur.

Based on DOE's Accident Investigation Report we have documented in detail the nature of WIPP's initial UNDETECTED Plutonium / Americium release and how it caused the reported "GREEN BURST" at the WIPP's electrical substation. see: "GREEN BURST" At WIPP Electrical Substation Triggered By Deadly Radioactive Americium Cloud

WIPP's  System of System (SOS) design flaw is as follows:

1) WIPP's electrical substation is located directly next to the mine's ventilation exhaust (see map below)

2) In event of nuclear fire, Ionizing Plutonium and Americium are discharged directly into the electrical substation

3) WIPP underground Continuous Air Monitor(s) are not placed to detect radiation in  the 6+ foot cavernous air space floating above the underground worker's heads (more detail in the video)

4) As happened on Valentine's day, Item 3 resulted in at least an hour long period of UNDETECTED Plutonium and Americium being discharged into WIPP's electrical substation, resulting in arc flashing.

5) Americium is known for its ability to ionize air and cause electrical discharges (it is used in smoke detectors for exactly this purpose)

6) Americium and Plutonium discharging into the electrical substation will (and did) cause arc flashing, and the result is likely to cause the substation to lose power

7) Power loss at WIPP equates to uncontrolled ventilation of the mine and an inability to evacuate workers

8) Uncontrolled ventilation during a fire means loss of containment, as demonstrated by the February 5th underground fire at WIPP

Aggravating factors:

1) Difficult salt related environmental conditions at WIPP make it nearly impossible to operate real time underground radioactive air monitoring without a high level of perceived false radioactive alarms. It is exactly this condition which caused site employees to disregard the veracity of the radiation alarm until 11 hours after it sounded (when secondary manual readings confirmed the release).

2) WIPP's plan to further increase underground ventilation rates makes real time underground detection even more difficult, and increases the chances of undetected stagnation pooling of radioactive materials at the electrical substation during no wind conditions.

Conclusion:

The MidWest nearly became uninhabitable on Valentine's Day, had wind speeds not picked up at the plant the facility would have lost power. It is possible the nuclear fire would have become naturally ventilated and uncontrolled, much like what happened on February 5th when an underground vehicle caught fire.

In that same light, had the February 5th underground vehicle fire occurred in a nuclear waste storage area, the resulting burning nuclear materials would have released enough  Americium to cause the electrical substation to shut down. That loss of power would have made it impossible to evacuate and or ventilate the underground. That loss of control would have resulted in the entire Midwest being contaminated in enough Plutonium and Americium that even the DOE would have a hard time covering it up.


As it stands now, the Department of Energy has not publicly recognized any of these deadly design deficiencies; its unclear if they are acting out of incompetence or some twisted greater good concept rationalizing the risk away for National Security reasons. But one thing is for sure, if DOE does not relocate and / or further risk mitigate WIPP's substation the entire Midwest remains at risk. 

UPDATE: 5/1/2014

We've found a Youtube video that shows the Americium electrical discharge effect on a small scale, what you see in the video embedded below is precisely what caused the "GREEN BURST" in WIPP's electrical substation when Americium and Plutonium were exhausted out of the mine into the electrical substation

Sources:

DOE WIPP Accident Investigation Report

"GREEN BURST" At WIPP Electrical Substation Triggered By Deadly Radioactive Americium Cloud

Fire breaks out underground at Carlsbad's Waste Isolation Pilot Plant; 6 treated for smoke inhalation

View Larger Map

ALERT: DOE CONFIRMS OUR REPORT! WIPP Plutonium Release Initially Unfiltered & HEPA System Was MANUALLY Started, Resulting In Human Contamination

While DOE, WIPP, and CERMC were reporting otherwise, the POTRBLOG team  was reporting that the HEPA filtration system at the WIPP facility had to be manually activated after the Plutonium explosion causing a massive unfiltered release to the environment and contamination of the workers who had to go outside and manually activate WIPP's  HEPA system.

We based our analysis on the mathematical data released and insider information from the WIPP plant. FINALLY  MONTHS LATER, a DOE investigator presenting WIPP's accident investigation report CONFIRMED OUR REPORT.


That confirmation came at the Wipp Town Hall Meeting 4/23/14 at approximately 1 hour 5 minutes and 25 seconds after the meeting started. Watch the Video linked below and fast forward to 1:05:25 to hear and see the confirming remarks.
http://new.livestream.com/rrv/wipptownhall7

Our early findings are best summarized in the video we released 3/12/14 which we have embedded below; we are now planning a follow up video.

Short to say; our opinion is that those officials who were reassuring the public that the HEPA system activated automatically and rapidly, while knowing otherwise should face jail time. Moreover our opinion is that those who may claim not to have known but should have known from the math / data, that those persons should never be allowed to operate in any matter involving public safety ever again.

SOURCES:

WIPP's Radiation Detection Equipment Was Overwhelmed By Explosive Plutonium Release

ALERT! New Mexico Emergency Officials Admit WIPP Radioactive Exhaust Bypassed HEPA Filter System

ALERT! Prima Facie Evidence HEPA FILTERs DELAYED START & CERMC Obfuscated WIPP Release Data

WIPP MATH ALERT! 33 Minute DELAY In HEPA FILTER Start After Radiation Alarm Sounded

Insider WIPP Information Indicates PLUTONIUM CLOUD WAS MUCH LARGER Than Previously Calculated!

[UPDATED] EBOLA Just 1 Gaëtan Dugas Away for North America; Africa's Outlook Is Bleak

Update 8/3/14:

Based on CDC warnings to hospitals and flight crews, Ebola may be transmitted via inhalation.
Meaning even small amounts of aerosolized Ebola can kill. Additionally, post recovery testing on Ebola Zaire survivors shows that transmittable levels of virus remain in semen for 91 days after infection.
Because of this data, we now suspect the North American Ebola Risk is higher, and the outlook for Africa is bleak

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Former title:

Until Gaëtan Dugas or Other Flying Rats Catch Ebola, The North American Risk Remains Low 

As we reported in a previous post, Ebola has finally gotten enough out of hand in Africa that the US Government is now willing to license an experimental Ebola vaccine based on the the Rabies virus.
The driver for this policy shift seems to be based on the unusual and some what rapid geographic spread of Ebola in Africa.

What we  know of Ebola is that it generally has the same promulgation vectors as the AIDS virus, with the additive effect of being able to jump across species. Moreover, Ebola is much less fragile than the AIDS virus, it can be passed by causal, passing transient contact with body fluids. But EBOLA operates in a different infectious time domain compared to AIDS; Ebola can take as long as 1-2 months to kill and spread from time of infection.

Given the inter state spread of Ebola in Africa, if it continues to spread, it means that EBOLA has likely gotten a foot hold either the food supply or among philandering truck drivers. From that perspective, the threat to North American is Ebola hitching a ride into the continent via another proverbial Gaëtan Dugas. Dugas being AIDS' infamous flight attendant "patient zero".

However even if EBOLA made it into North America, it would have to hang around long enough to find a way into a native wild host before it could remain a continuous threat. So barring some mutation, Ebola does not seem to be a massive threat in North America to anyone who does not intermingle with large populations of individuals who are disposed to transiently contacting bodily fluids on a frequent basis. And in this sense, frequent, means many times per day.

However if you fall into that category of  "frequent", you might wish to consider using Chlorhexidine Gluconate aka Hibiclens as a risk mitigation item.

Updated Sources:

ALERT! CDC Warns Hospitals On EBOLA "CONTAMINATED AIR" and Directs use of "Airborne Infection Isolation Room"s

http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/196/Supplement_2/S142.full.pdf

Inhalation Ebola: Governments Ready For World War Ebola

Sources:

US Licensing LIVE Rabies Based EBOLA Vaccine, Preps Pandemic Quarantine Stations &  Injury Fund

US Licensing LIVE Rabies Based EBOLA Vaccine, Preps Pandemic Quarantine Stations & Injury Fund

Just in time for the most recent outbreak of Ebola in Africa, which potentially has already spread into North America via Canada, the National Institute for Health is licensing a Rabies based Ebola vaccine produced by Exxell Bio.

"trivalent filovirus vaccine based on killed rabies virus virions for use in humans to confer protection from all medically relevant filoviruses and RABV. Two additional vectors containing EBOV Sudan GP or MARV GP are planned to be constructed in addition to the previously developed EBOV Zaire GP containing vaccine. Live attenuated vaccines have been developed for use in at risk nonhuman primate populations in Africa and inactivated vaccines have been developed for use in humans."

Basically, what they have done here is taken the Rabies virus and altered its exterior coating to contain Ebola proteins. So if all works as planned, the person vaccinated is protected from Rabies and Ebola. Or course such things often have unintended consequences, we'll make a wager that giving live attenuated Ebola modified Rabies vaccines to wild non-human primates in Africa may result in some unusual and deadly selection pressures.


These efforts seem to tie in with recent government contracts to increase capacities at CDC Quarantine Stations located throughout the country. In similar regard, the government has also laid out its plans to reimburse people from injuries caused by governmental Pandemic actions. All these actions are tied in with a large Federal effort to mitigate the impact of a Zero Day Pandemic Exploit. (see sources below)

Sources:

Prospective Grant of Exclusive License: Multivalent Vaccines for Rabies Virus and Ebola and Marburg (Filoviruses)

US Government Showing Major Concern For A Devastating ZERO DAY Pandemic Exploit

Countermeasures Injury Compensation Program: Pandemic Influenza Countermeasures Injury Table

edited to add a research study on this type of vaccine-

Antibody Quality and Protection from Lethal Ebola Virus Challenge in Nonhuman Primates Immunized with Rabies Virus Based Bivalent Vaccine

The Explosive Plutonium Release At WIPP Likely Will Be Tied to the 2/14/14 Closure of a Ventilation Regulator In 707 Bulkhead

We read through DOE's report on the 2/5/14 fire at the WIPP facility with an eye on spotting ventilation system configurations which could result in the build up of explosive gases produced by the radioactive waste. Key information pointing to the root cause of a explosive gas build up is found on page 35 of DOE's report on the 2/5/14 fire; notice the information we quoted and bolded in their statement below. We suspect that the regulator action mentioned is at the root cause of the February 14th explosion and radioactive release at the WIPP facility.

"707 bulkhead door that divides the construction split from the disposal split requires
manual operation and cannot be remotely shut, which is necessary for shifting to
filtration mode.  During the initial entries after the event, underground services shut the 707 bulkhead door and regulator the afternoon of February 14, 2014.  This
allowed the ventilation system to be placed in filtration mode.  After the radiological
event the evening of February 14, 2014, it would not have been possible to place the
ventilation in filtration mode if 707 bulkhead door had remained open."

 It is important to note that the WIPP facility has been trying to eliminate EPA requirements that they check for explosive gases. WIPPs desire to abandon such costly testing was based on an analysis claiming it was not possible for gas to build to explosive levels. Of course, that analysis would have been based on the on the assumption that the ventilation system was operating within design specifications. It is important to note that the location of the initial radiation alarm was precisely at the location where the analysis indicated explosive gases were most likely to concentrate.

Obviously after the fire, the ventilation system was no longer within design specifications, and the chance of explosion from combustible gases greatly increased. And more importantly for the risk of additional explosions and radioactive releases, the 2/14/14 explosion has resulted in the mine ventilation being massively out of spec. We believe the risk of additional explosive releases of radioactive materials at the WIPP facility is very high.

Sources:

http://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2014/03/f11/Final%20WIPP%20Underground%20Fire%20Report%2003.13.2014.pdf

The Document Trail Points To a RADIATION INDUCED EXPLOSION At DOE Plutonium Disposal Plant

HIGH RISK of New Large Plutonium Release! 'Stabilization Efforts' Indicative of Explosion Damaged Ventilation System!

WIPP's Radiation Detection Equipment Was Overwhelmed By Explosive Plutonium Release

ALERT! Prima Facie Evidence HEPA FILTERs DELAYED START & CERMC Obfuscated WIPP Release Data

WIPP's Radiation Detection Equipment Was Overwhelmed By Explosive Plutonium Release

It was (and still is) mathematically and physically impossible for the exhaust air sampling equipment used at DOE's WIPP facility to measure or even accurately estimate the totality of the Radioactive weapon's grade Plutonium which was released into the air during the Valentine's day underground explosion.

Any calculation of the size of the Plutonium release based on WIPPs exhaust sampling data is at best only an educated guess.The short of it is that the system was not designed to be able to quantify the radioactive releases which started on Valentine's day.

The sampling equipment used by DOE WIPP was basically designed to estimate how much radioactive material a human could have inhaled had that person been standing inside the exhaust vent. Given the current situation, that's sort of like trying to estimate the size of Tsunami by measuring how much salt water a person standing on the beach could have drank during the Tsunami.

The air samplers used by DOE WIPP intake approximately 70 cubic meters of air per day, not coincidental a human breathes in roughly 70 cubic meters of air per day. The WIPP exhaust system on the other hand, has the capability to exhaust 28,800,000 cubic meters of air per day. The problem with trying to figured out what was in nearly 29 million cubic meters of air when you only sampled only 70 cubic meters is obvious to most people, especially when the release was non uniform and explosive in nature.

Two things are key in understanding why DOE WIPP's exhaust air sampling is not up to snuff:

(1) The "Nyquist sampling theorem" [NST]

(2) Applying NST to sampling a physically continuous process involving a potentially compressible gas flow containing potentially discontinuous densities of radioactive materials, all of which may be disturbed by the sampling process itself .


We list the above for anyone who wants to figure out and verify the math of the simplified explanation we offer below.

In video terminology, the problem with WIPP sensors is that the frame rate they are using to sample the system is not matched to the frame rate at which the system is operating. The result being missing data, pixelation, skewing, aliasing, and etc.

In data rate terminology, the exhuast is outputting information at Gigabit rates and the sampling system is capturing data in kilobit rates. The result is that the receiver is overwhelmed and misses data, yet it appears as if it is supplying useful data.

In real physical terms, to even attempt to accurately capture the radioactive nature of the exhaust stream, the sampling system air intake draw must at all times match the velocity of exhaust system so as to not alter the radioactive density of the sampled stream. The simplest way to visualize this sampling concept is to think of how people get on and off of contentiously moving amusement park rides like the Haunted Mansion at Disney World.

To safely extract people from the Disney's Haunted Mansion Ride, people step out of their continuously moving carts onto a continuously moving sidewalk whose velocity is exactly matched to that of the carts. In the same manner, to preserve the airborne density of continuously moving radioactive exhaust air at WIPP, the sampling system must have its draw velocity exactly matched to that of the radioactive exhaust stream.

Either under sampling or oversampling the stream damages the measurement density; just akin to how a person might be damaged when stepping off of a moving ride and onto a moving side walk which is moving either too fast or too slow relative to the ride's velocity. Of course, the problem becomes even more complex when the radioactive release is explosive in nature. Unfortunately, based on CEMRC's data, it's clear that WIPP only has a very rudimentary exhaust air sampling system which has no hope of identifying how much Plutonium was released into the environment.


So having hopefully read through our analysis, it should be abundantly clear the DOE WIPP doesn't really know how much Plutonium was released into the air, their best guess only serves to underestimate what actually happened. Toss in the fact that WIPP has no clue what was released via the other non monitored shafts at their facility.  And it should be clear that any assurances of safety fall short of what the data can actually mathematically support; even if one assumes that WIPP / DOE/ CEMRC analyze the data honestly. Unfortunately, the data they have released does not mesh well (if at all) with the narrative they are pressing on the public.

In the end,  watch the following video of smoke billowing out of the Salt Shaft at WIPP during the 2/5/14 fire, and consider that if they had only measured the smoke coming out of the exhaust stack WIPP would have claimed that little or no smoke was released.
Direct link to WIPP fire video: http://www.tout.com/m/7go08x

 Source data:

ALERT! Prima Facie Evidence HEPA FILTERs DELAYED START & CERMC Obfuscated WIPP Release Data

ALERT! Prima Facie Evidence HEPA FILTERs DELAYED START & CERMC Obfuscated WIPP Release Data

)

DOE Charts released today show at least 4 important things

(1) The UNFILTERED radioactive release was greatest at the START OF THE EXPLOSION, prior to 6:30 AM on 2/15/14

(2) Yet, HEPA filtered AIR indicated the highest radioactive release was between 8:35AM - 2:45PM on 2/15/14--- LONG AFTER THE EXPLOSION

(3) The above data (1&2), as reported by DOE, indicates that HEPA filters DID NOT  rapidly or automatically activate during the highest release time period; but rather, HEPA filters only activated some time after the highest Plutonium + Americium releases occurred into the environment.


(4) CERMC analysis of post HEPA filtration data served to OBFUSCATE the Plutonium release discrepancy. 

Hitherto, on 3/6 we alerted that there was a Smoking Gun in the CERMC data; "the delay in testing Station B functions to obscure the peak radioactive releases" . The Station "B" sample data had been peanut buttered out over a 4 day period. In essence, reporting the data in that manner makes it appear that it was a uniformly constant radioactive release over that entire time period. Today, DOE WIPP released readings from Station A and Station B air filters point to CEMRC's obfuscation.

 DOE indicates these filters were the source of CERMC's readings. More importantly these readings show that the radioactive release was actually measured in MUCH Finer detail than the CERMC data portrays.


CERMC Station B's  1st reported reading 
Filter ran from 2/14/2014  7:55:00 AM to 2/18/2014  4:55:00 PM

DOE's readings indicate that CERMC's report was actually a composite of ELEVEN separate filter samples.

Hopefully some one at DOE, WIPP, CERMC will rapidly and truthfully explain these discrepancies. But don't hold your breath waiting for them to do so. You'd be better served holding your breath if you lived down wind of WIPP.

You would also be better served preparing to evacuate in the advent of a 2nd explosion at WIPP. We believe it is likely that ventilation instabilities related to the 2/5/14 fire resulted in the build up and explosion combustible gases on 2/14/14. Given that the ventilation system is in even much less stable after the explosion, an another gas build up and explosion is to be expected. 

Sources:

http://wipp.energy.gov/Special/Ventilation%20System%20Sampling%20Results.pdf

http://www.cemrc.org/2014/03/05/cemrc-radiological-results-air-sampling-wipp-site-following-february-14th-2014-radiation-detection-event-2/

MAX ATTENTION: SMOKING GUN IN CERMC DATA

ALERT! Airborne Cesium 137 Was Detected At WIPP Facility: Sign of SIGNIFICANT UNDERGROUND DAMAGE

WIPP MATH ALERT! 33 Minute DELAY In HEPA FILTER Start After Radiation Alarm Sounded

HIGH RISK of New Large Plutonium Release! 'Stabilization Efforts' Indicative of Explosion Damaged Ventilation System!

PREPARE TO EVACUATE!!: Albuquerque Air Force Base Orders 1,200 Particulate Radiation Suits

DOE Caught Bending The Truth Again! Falsely Claims Release Material Was Predominately Americium.

The Economics of Shutting Down the WIPP Plutonium Dispersal Site, And Why It May Explode Again.

Seems many people in Carlsbad are concerned about losing their jobs and their health. Word is that people are being told to shut up about the situation in order to save their jobs. But, the math of the economics don't support staying silent.

WIPP was near the end of its life cycle when the explosion happened, the majority of its storage rooms were full.  The costs of keeping the WIPP site open for only a limited amount of future space have just skyrocketed to the point where previously more expensive alternatives are now cheaper and more assessable in the near term.

Moreover, DOE WIPP has tried to blame the disaster on a ceiling collapse, as opposed to an explosion which might have caused a ceiling collapse. A ceiling collapse basically rules out  WIPP's future use because it points to an unknown engineering instability that is difficult and expensive to control. Meaning that expanding WIPP's storage capacity enough to average out the costs of the attempted (and neigh impossible) cleanup is highly unlikely and very risky.

On the other hand, an explosion caused by a buildup of Hydrogen and Methane is something that engineering has a chance of mitigating. Albeit, admitting an explosion would be highly embarrassing considering that WIPP has been trying to remove requirements to check for explosive gas build up based on a mathematical analysis indicating that it was impossible for the gases to concentrate to explosive concentrations.

Unfortunately for WIPP and all of us downwind, simulations predicting something is impossible are often based on very flimsy assumptions and ground rules; assumptions like the ventilation system being properly run. It seems that ventilation assumption was thrown out the shaft during the Feb 5th fire when smoke was seen billowing from the Salt shaft. All smoke should have exhausted through the ventilation system.

So, there's a ventilation system in apparent dysfunction, and then nine days later  an event occurs in ROOM 7, the exact place where the simulation indicated explosive gases were most likely to build up. And then, there's a reported rate of radioactive release which also points to explosion.

In the after math of the disaster, we find out that WIPP is attempting to "stabilize" the ventilation system. Obviously meaning, WIPP is back at square one with a ventilation system in apparent dysfunction with explosion damage. As such, assumptions that explosive gases won't build up should be thrown out the window. BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE AT A MOMENTS NOTICE


At best, the economics point to WIPP trying to stabilize the ventilation system to the point that the mine can be sealed up. The best the locals should hope for is a massive flux of money to clean up the mess and prevent it from reoccurring. Yet, how can such funding be appropriated when all are lead to believe that the disaster was a non-event.  They claim the disaster was some 804 TIMES less than a EPA reportable event. Or to put it another way, they are claiming that the same event would have had to happen again an additional 804 times during that week before it would have become "reportable" to the EPA.

To hold out hope that DOE will keep the site in operation one has to believe the following.

(1) the ventilation system can be stabilized before another explosion occurs.
(2) Workers have to able to safely enter a mine with a ceiling collapse, and clean distributed weapons grade Plutonium off of every working surface.
(3) That #2 can be done without releasing more Plutonium into the air and without contaminating the equipment being used beyond the point of being usable.
(4) That #2 & #3 can be done in an environment of uncertain structural stability.
(5) That engineers can somehow declare the mine structurally safe for further use for a mine collapse they didn't see coming.
(6) That the opportunity costs associated with doing 1-5 are less than alternatives operations at other locations.

Its pretty clear that short of a National Security Issue and a Chernobyl style cadre of "human robots", the WIPP site restart is a non starter. The only question is will there be enough money to fund a clean up of something that supposedly didn't get dirty.

IF YOU WANT TO SAVE YOUR POSSIBLE REMEDIATION JOBS AND YOUR HEALTH, SPEAK UP AND TELL THE TRUTH ABOUT WHAT YOU KNOW!.

Sources:

HIGH RISK of New Large Plutonium Release! 'Stabilization Efforts' Indicative of Explosion Damaged Ventilation System!

The Document Trail Points To a RADIATION INDUCED EXPLOSION At DOE Plutonium Disposal Plant

ALERT! CERMC BACKS OFF ASSERTION THAT WIPP HEPA FILTERS SHIFTED OVER TO FILTRATION 'IN BRIEF MOMENTS'

In the early stage of the WIPP disaster, CERMC put its reputation, and the safety of the public on the line with this direct quote (as provided by the CurrentArgus newspaper)

"The levels detected during this time period are higher than the normal background levels of radioactivity from transuranic elements commonly found at this sampling station, thus their presence during this specific time frame appears to indicate a small release of radioactive particles from the WIPP underground exhaust shaft in the brief moments following when the radiation event occurred and when the WIPP ventilation system shifted to the filtration mode," 

Today, CERMC has passed the buck on the assertion of  "automatic" filtration over to DOE officials, and placed it squarely on their shoulders.

"As stated by DOE officials, in the event of a radioactive detection in the underground, the ventilation system lowers the fan speed and automatically shifts to a “filtration” mode; whereby all of the exhaust shaft effluent passes through a large bank of High Efficiency Particulate Absorption (HEPA) filters designed to remove 99.97% of all radioactive particles from the air before exiting into the environment."

Originally we accepted CEMRC's and DOE's statements as truthful; but based on MATH and INSIDER INFORMATION about WIPP, the POTRBLOG team has come to believe that the HEPA filter system DID NOT 'automatically' shift into filtration mode.

We suspect that approximately 33 minutes passed before the HEPA filtration system was manually activated. Our calculations, based on the authority's numbers, indicate, 99% of the radiation was released in the first seven minutes, AVERAGING 2,030 Becquerels per Cubic meter of exhaust air during those 7 minutes. We estimate 284 MILLION Becquerels of Plutonium and Americium was released in those 7 minutes. We have come to call this seeming coverup of information- HEPAgate.

It seems CEMRC has taken an important legal step in distancing itself from claims of automatic and/or brief moments of unfiltered radioactive exhaust escaping from WIPP. Its an important step, in what we expect will soon be a rapid round of finger pointing surrounding everyone involved in the disaster.

How long will it be until a Special prosecutor starts asking all involved, "what did they know and when did they know it"?

Maybe in the mean time they will be brave enough to release RAW data from the detections; don't hold your breath! On second thought,  maybe you should hold it if you live within 200 miles of WIPP.

Sources:

http://www.currentargus.com/ci_25179328/lab-radiation-detected-above-ground-near-wipp-site

http://www.cemrc.org/2014/03/05/cemrc-radiological-results-air-sampling-wipp-site-following-february-14th-2014-radiation-detection-event-2/

WIPP MATH ALERT! 33 Minute DELAY In HEPA FILTER Start After Radiation Alarm Sounded