President #Trump required early intervention with #dexamethasone as the direct result of his previous #vaccination with an experimental #COVID19 #vaccine
And, that portends serious dangers with large scale #SARS_CoV_2 vaccinations of the Public
#Trump's #COVID19 progressed to lung involvement seemingly rapidly within in just 2 days of infection
COVID19 progression typically is described in the following pattern
1st 5 days = symptoms followed by seeming improvement
2nd 5 days = immune response attacks lungs
If #Trump's #Coronavirus infection time line is correct
it means that Trump's immune system mounted such an IMMEDIATE and OVERWHELMING response to his #SARSCoV2 infection that his lungs were being damaged at the same time his infection was just starting (very atypical)
So that brings the question how was a 74 year old man like #PresidentTrump able to produce such a rapid and damaging immune response to SARSCoV2?
The obvious #Conjecture is that #Trump's #ImmuneSystem had been previously primed with an experimental #COVID19 vaccine
IF the scenario is correct, the following can be deduced:
1) The #COVID19 vaccine used on #Trump was not effective
2) The vaccine induced #ARDS symptoms at infection onset!
Wise COVID-19 risk mitigation action would now include the assumption that the pig population in the USA is asymptomatically infected with SARS-COV-2.
Analysis:
1) Research from 2018 has shown that "Bat-Origin Coronaviruses Expand Their Host Range to Pigs" (link in source documents below)
2) US Pork processing facilities are being massively disproportionally hit with COVID-19 cases, as compared to beef, and poultry processors
3) The pork processing plants are mostly located in States withotherwise very low per capita Coronavirus infections
4) Pigs are known to be susceptible to Coronavirus infections.
5) Due to immense economic pressures there will be great hesitance to inform the public of any risks related to Pigs spreading COVID-19 infections.
6) A knee-jerk public reaction to infected pigs could lead to destruction of the pork industry and potentially increase the world wide risk of starvation.
Conclusion:
Given the correlation preponderance and the high impact of infection, it is a wise risk mitigation decision at the individual level to proceed as if Pigs and raw pig products were a direct source of COVID-19 infections.
1) Ground meat products MAY currently present an usually high risk of transmitting coronavirus as normal cooking temperatures may not inactivate the SARS-COV-2 "COVID19" coronavirus. 2) The infection risk may spread to all forms of meat products if farm animals become infected. 3) A knee jerk public reaction could decimate meat production resulting in Mass Starvation.
Analysis:
1) A research study out of France indicates the SARS-COV-2 coronavirus shows a high heat resistance when contained in fluids (Source link below)
2) COVID19 has become endemic among workers in multiple major meat processing facilities
3) Meat processing workers likely are causing surface contamination of meat products they are handling.
4) Ground Beef / Pork / Chicken by nature of its processing mixes any surface contamination into the body of the ground product.
5) Internally contaminated meat products provide a similar environment to those tested by the French researchers
6) Ground meat product are notoriously known for spreading disease as it is difficult to raise internal temperatures to sanitary levels and maintain edibility.
7) The French study found that heating contaminated samples to 198F for 15 minutes was enough to inactivate the virus.
8) The risk may spread beyond just Ground meat products if farm animals themselves become infected with SARS-COV-2
9) MANY farm animals are susceptible to generic coronavirus
10) Generic coronaviruses in the Animal Kingdom spread via the Fecal Oral Route
11) Searing / Charing the surfaces of steaks / cutlets/ roasts may risk mitigate human contamination of meat products
12) UVC irradiation (high energy ultraviolet light) provides the safest surface decontamination of whole meat products
13) IF farm animals become infected it may not be possible make meat products "safe" to eat without nuclear irradiation.
14) Governmental authorities will EXTREEMLY down play the risks to the meat supply because of the economic disruption and potential STARVATION that could result from a knee jerk public reaction and potential destruction of livestock farming capability.
3/15/20
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The Herd has awoken to the importance of Blood Oxygen meters, they are rapidly going up in price and out of stock
Based on research studies (linked below) these "in stock", Amazon fulfillment Oximeters listed below are likely to match Prescription oximeters in accuracy.
The manufacturer to look for in inexpensive Over The Counter [OTC] is "Beijing Choice" aka "ChoiceMMed"; They make both prescription and OTC oximeters, with the primary difference appearing to be labeling. "Beijing Choice" models can also be found under other brand names like Zacurate and Wrinery.
--------------UPDATED 3/24/20
We've added 3M Vetbond Tissue Adhesive to our list https://amzn.to/2ULGrhx
It is a veterinary surgical glue used instead of stiches to close wounds.
Furthermore, with the dwindling supply of donated blood its is critical to rapidly manage blood loss. The only blood clotting agent still readily available on Amazon is CELOX Traumatic Wound First Aid Packets https://amzn.to/2Uzgvpa
The 6 CELOX packets in the above link are roughly equivalent to the single pack inside the currently unavailable Adventure Medical Kits Rapid Response Trauma Pak with QuikClot
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Since our 1st Emergency Action Message in January targeted acquiring items to cost effectively risk mitigate environmental exposure to the Coronavirus; those items have mostly become unavailable. MOREOVER, it has become clear that the nature of the threat is severe enough that collapse of the medical system is probable.
It is uncertain if the threat is great enough to result in total collapse of the medical system; however it is likely that the health care system will collapse to the point that even traumatic injuries may face significant delay in treatment.
Traumatic bleeding and blood loss may be the most important injury to risk mitigate, until assistance can arrive. Items used to treat traumatic injury will rapidly go out of stock as the supply chain empties and the HERD stampedes.
Suture Thread with Needle 30Pk (in case the Doctor runs out of them) https://amzn.to/2wKyOiO
Please note:
We do not make recommendations. We only explain the actual emergency risk mitigation action we are taking, and the rationale for those actions. If you purchase item via the links above it will aid us in offsetting the costs of our own purchases.
If you wish to donated directly to POTRBLOG (and only if you can afford to do so) feel free to use the donate button below :
Seattle / King county Public Health does not want to close Public Schools because they and the CDC believe Coronavirus is already Endemic in the Public School System, and are concerned that sending kids home will result in their Grandparents becoming infected with COVID-19.
Oregon has also taken the position to not close schools until the last resort
Below is the direct quote from Patty Hayes, Director of Public Health Seattle and King County
(full video clip of the Governor's press conference is in the Sources and Data section below):
"We know that when children are,when we close the school, children have to go somewhere, so if you think about families, where often are the care givers? It might be grandma, grandpa, an elderly member of the family; the exact people that we're concerned about. So sometimes keeping children in the classroom and under the supervision of the school is the best advice. And then if they are symptomatic we certainly work immediately with that school and its structure that they have for the school nurse and healthcare identification."
Analysis:
1) Obviously the ONLY way sending kids home could be problematic is if the COVID-19 Genie is already out of the bottle with Coronavirus endemic in the school system.
2) Its also clear that unless there is overwhelming evidence of an outbreak at school, parents will not easily tolerate their children being locked down in school quarantine.
3) So given items (1) and (2) the only "strategy" King county Public Health can have is to keep schools open as long as possible thereby minimizing the kid's Grandparents day time exposure, while simultaneously allowing cases to fester in school until harsher action become publicly palpable.
Discussion:
While Seattle's Public Health position may make sense at the HERD level; at my individual level it's not sensible. As such, if I lived in Washington State; I would immediately file a letter of intent to have my children home schooled. I would not let my children return on Monday morning!
Unfortunately Washington state does not trust people to home school their children; Its also likely why they want to keep infected kids under their charge at in school quarantine, instead giving them back to their parents.
Telemedicine risk mitigation devices we are using (in order of importance):
Oximeters (can indicate the difference between shortness of breath vs pneumonia) https://amzn.to/2IADrPn (We tested it on adults and children down to 3 years old)
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products)
PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
Unlike China, most Americans have to drive to get supplies. Don't expect gas stations to be open, and expect the ones that are open to be crowded. That last thing you want to do is increase your coronavirus exposure chances by making unnecessary gasoline stops.
Unfortunately, most modern American gas cans are now dangerous as all heck thanks to California and their friends in the Federal Government. Metal cans are preferable over plastic, and if it doesn't have a long nozzle (preferably flexible) you wont be able to use it to fill your cars gas tank.
NOTE: Several States require gasoline cans to be red and to say gasoline on them. Where possible the use of 100% gasoline is preferable to 10% Ethanol formulations for storage purposes.
Almost all car parts and maintenance items are made in China, those factories are already closed. With an outbreak in the USA expect car dealerships and local garages to be shutdown for lack of parts and for fear of being infected.
Many of these items may yet still be available at your local stores.
If you buy through any of the Amazon links, we will get a commission.
We did NOT include links to purchase cough medicine based on reports that China was tracking who purchased cough medicine and such tracking might be expected in the USA.
This footage is from a Minnesota Sam's Club on 3/8/2020; literally moments prior to the video the butchers had restocked the displays seen here with the last of the meat products they had available.
The shortage issue here stems from the Herd stampeding to buy a 2 week supply of food when the supply chain only has a 3 day buffer. As this effect is on going, the result will be a feast and famine cycle in which food shows up and is purchased in waves.
The feast and famine cycle will only serve to panic the Herd further. Unfortunately things will become worse as Government's try to manage the supply chain and control costs; picture your local Department of Motor Vehicles in charge of your food supply. The fast and most painless solution to recover from this situation is the Free-Market "Price Gouging". But obviously that won't be allowed to happen so prepare to suffer under the DMV controlled food supply.
Pray and Help Your Neighbors.
Risk Mitigation:
Telemedicine risk mitigation devices we are using (in order of importance):
Oximeters (can indicate the difference between shortness of breath vs pneumonia) https://amzn.to/2IADrPn (We tested it on adults and children down to 3 years old)
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products)
PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
Unlike China, most Americans have to drive to get supplies. Don't expect gas stations to be open, and expect the ones that are open to be crowded. That last thing you want to do is increase your coronavirus exposure chances by making unnecessary gasoline stops.
Unfortunately, most modern American gas cans are now dangerous as all heck thanks to California and their friends in the Federal Government. Metal cans are preferable over plastic, and if it doesn't have a long nozzle (preferably flexible) you wont be able to use it to fill your cars gas tank.
NOTE: Several States require gasoline cans to be red and to say gasoline on them. Where possible the use of 100% gasoline is preferable to 10% Ethanol formulations for storage purposes.
Almost all car parts and maintenance items are made in China, those factories are already closed. With an outbreak in the USA expect car dealerships and local garages to be shutdown for lack of parts and for fear of being infected.
Many of these items may yet still be available at your local stores.
If you buy through any of the Amazon links, we will get a commission.
We did NOT include links to purchase cough medicine based on reports that China was tracking who purchased cough medicine and such tracking might be expected in the USA.
The US Centers for Disease Control now directs that ANYONE seeking treatment for FLU symptoms should be assessed in a Airborne Infection Isolation Room [AIIR]
AND BE QUARANTINED UNTIL SYMPTOMS CLEAR.
"Patients who are not tested should remain home until 24 hours after improvement of symptoms
and resolution of fever without fever reducing medications."
If you didn't have coronavirus prior to visiting the Doctor's office, obviouslyCDC suspects you will have the virus after the visit. That fact is manifest obvious given that the quarantine applies to patients who did not rate having an actual coronavirus test.
The directions from CDC say that all patients with Flu like symptoms should be assessed in a Airborne Infection Isolation Room (AIIR). Unless the AIIR patient assessment room is 100% sterilized between each and every patient visit, the probability is high that a nosocomial coronavirus infection will occur. It is this high probability of acquiring the COVID-19 infection at medical centers combined with the fact that many of the West Coast COVID-19 patients acquired their infections in health care settings which is the likely driver behind CDC's direction to quarantine.
It is for the above reasons we are avoiding all medical facilities unless we face life threatening symptoms. Based on the research data, the only suitable at home method of determining if one's cough and/or shortness of breath is life threatening is with an inexpensive over the counter blood oxygen meter.
Our deep dive into the research papers and FDA's medical device database indicates that the most accurate meters are made by "Beijing Choice" also known as "ChoiceMMed". ChoiceMMed makes prescription [Rx] oximeters and Over The Counter [OTC] oximeters, the data seems to indicate that the primary difference between the Rx models and the OTC models is labeling. Note, that the manufacturer is oft sold under many different labels.
These are the oximeter models (or equivalent) which we have purchased
While we based our choices on models we expect to rival Rx models for accuracy down to 70% blood oxygen levels, the research studies indicate that the models they tested were accurate enough down to the 90% blood oxygen levels that OTC oximeters could be used to identify high risk pneumonia cases. Obviously, such a device in conjunction with telemedicine could be crucial in helping one avoid an unnecessary encounter with a possibly coronavirus infected health care facility.
"The purpose of our study was to clarify limitations of off-label use for low cost nonmedical use (NMU) pulse oximeters by primary care providers. These devices are widely marketed over the Internet and in drugstores but are not intended for medical use or reviewed by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Our study compared oxygen saturation (SpO2) in patients from 1 medical use (MU) pulse oximeter to 8 NMU pulse oximeters. Measured arterial oxygenation (SaO2) was compared with SpO2 when available. In patients who were normoxic (SpO2 ≥90%), all oximeters exhibited similar readings. This finding suggests that NMU pulse oximeters may be able to rule out hypoxemia in clinical settings."
Disclosures:
If you purchase any items through our Amazon link, we will get a "finder's fee". Those funds help us offset our own risk mitigations costs:
Please note that none of the above information is advice or a recommendation; we only describe the emergency risk mitigation actions we are taking and the detailed research basis for our actions. We cannot make risk mitigation decisions for you.
The CDC is looking for sources who can turn T-Shirts into coronavirus face masks for the general public to use during the COVID19 pandemic. Unfortunately its not a joke, but using such a T-Shirt mask would be because as soon as it is dampened from your breath the fibers will relax and any minimal protection it offered dry will disappear.
The three things to note are:
1) CDC's plan shows of how badly they see this pandemic turning out
2) Its impossible to risk mitigate effectively after the Herd stampedes the supply chain
3) The Herd is still unaware that long lasting skin sanitizers exist.
Emergency Risk Mitigation Actions We Have Taken.
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products)
PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
(1) Our actions are focused on risk mitigation, based on available current knowledge of viricides and the potential impacts of the Wuhan Coronavirus.
(2) We do not make recommendations as to what other people should do or buy; we only offer insight to the things we are actually doing and spending money on.
(3) If you use the links above to purchase these item we will receive monetary compensation from Amazon, which in turn will help us buy more of these items.
If you wish to donated directly to POTRBLOG (and only if you can afford to do so) feel free to use the donate button below :
High quality data from Los Alamos National Labs [LANL] indicates there is a 99% probability a Japanese tourist in Hawaii acquired his SARS-CoV-2 aka COVID19 infection during the nearly 2 week period he was in Hawaii on vacation. (source links and raw data are at the end of this post)
Given the high probability (and uncertainty on how rapidly it may spread in Hawaii's climate) combined with the high societal impact, prudent risk mitigation MAY indicate that now is the time to
1) Either, hunker down and gather supplies while it is still possible and economical to do so
2) Or, escape / evacuate the islands while it is still possible.
Analysis of Symptom Onset date vs Infection Date:
1) He was in Maui for 8 days from Jan 27 to Feb 3
2) He was in Oahu for 5 days from Feb 3 to Feb 7
3) Symptom onset was Feb 5th - Feb 6th, based on News Reports
4) Hospitalization date was Feb 8th, In Japan with a 102F fever
5) LANL data reports initial exposure to symptom onset is 4.2 days
6) LANL data indicates 99.9% of cases have symptom onset within 11 days of infection
7) LANL data indicates 99.2% of victims have symptom onset within 10 days of infection
8) LANL data indicates 98.5% of victims have symptom onset within 9 days of infection
9) The Japanese victim had symptom onset on day 10 of his Hawaii vacation [max range day 9-11]
10) Based on Infection vs Onset data there is a 99% to 99.9% probability he was infected in Hawaii
Risk Mitigation Discussion:
It is clear with near certainty that the Japanese tourist was infected with Coronavirus during his vacation in Hawaii. That infection indicates that previously undetected community spread of the SARS-CoV2 aka COVID19 virus was ongoing in Hawaii at minimum during late January and early February. The lowest bound for the 1st infection in Hawaii would probably be 12/31/19.
The LANL analysis indicated that 'in China it is estimated that early in the epidemic the number of infected individuals doubled every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6'
IF those conditions hold true in Hawaii, and making the conservative assumption that the Japanese tourist was infected by Patient Zero, the LANL data would indicated that as of Valentine's Day there would have been approximately 48 to 213 undetected SARS-CoV2 cases in Hawaii. Whether those replication numbers apply in Hawaii's climate is uncertain, but given the certainty of community infection and the societal impacts of COVID-19 infection. I can only draw the conclusion that if I was in Hawaii
1) I would either immediately hunker down and accumulate needed supplies while such actions were still viable.
2) Or, I would evacuate the Islands while there was still capability to do so.
If Hawaii's Department of Public Health takes zero action, LANL's data indicates there will be over 1 million cases by mid-March.
Data Strength and Weaknesses:
Strengths:
1) Credibility of Los Alamos National Laboratory
2) Highest Quality Raw Data Available
3) Raw data is from Individuals who 'had all traveled to
Wuhan a short time preceding symptoms onset. Since these individuals were the first cases
detected in the provinces outside of Wuhan, it is likely that the infection occurred during their recent stay in Wuhan'
Weaknesses:
1) While the infection / onset data is very high quality, it is drawn from a pool of only 24 people.
2) Hawaii is not China, hence COVID19's Reproduction number R0 may be lower and rates of spread may be different.
Mainland Emergency Risk Mitigation Actions We Have Taken.
(1) For emergency and portable decontamination we are using PDI Prevantics skin wipes containing 3.15% chlorhexidine gluconate and 70% Isopropyl Alcohol (or similar products)
PDI Prevantics is both rapid and persistent for hours in its viricide capability
(2) We are actively using Hibiclens 4% Chlorhexidine surgical scrub as a full strength lotion applied to the hands as a persistent long duration viricide. The Hibiclens Gallon Jug Refill is more cost effective, but we may also substitute the significantly less expensive and slightly weaker 2% veterinarian chlorhexidine soaps as conditions and shortages unfold. 2% is the minimum strength we would use.
Unlike China, most Americans have to drive to get supplies. Don't expect gas stations to be open, and expect the ones that are open to be crowded. That last thing you want to do is increase your coronavirus exposure chances by making unnecessary gasoline stops.
Unfortunately, most modern American gas cans are now dangerous as all heck thanks to California and their friends in the Federal Government. Metal cans are preferable over plastic, and if it doesn't have a long nozzle (preferably flexible) you wont be able to use it to fill your cars gas tank.
NOTE: Several States require gasoline cans to be red and to say gasoline on them. Where possible the use of 100% gasoline is preferable to 10% Ethanol formulations for storage purposes.
Almost all car parts and maintenance items are made in China, those factories are already closed. With an outbreak in the USA expect car dealerships and local garages to be shutdown for lack of parts and for fear of being infected.
Many of these items may yet still be available at your local stores.
If you buy through any of the Amazon links, we will get a commission.
We did NOT include links to purchase cough medicine based on reports that China was tracking who purchased cough medicine and such tracking might be expected in the USA.
